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  Citation Number 9
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Mıst Borsalarında Rassal Yürüyüş Hipotezi
Eskişehir Osmangazi Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi

Borsalarda hisse senetlerinin fiyatı arz ve talebe göre belirlenmektedir. Eğer borsada rassal yürüyüş hipotezi geçerli ise geçmiş verilerden hareketle fiyat tahmininde bulunmak mümkün olmamaktadır. Aksi takdirde bu bilgileri kullanan kişiler fiyat tahmininde bulunabilmekte ve normalüstü kazanç elde edebilmektedirler. Bu makalenin amacı MIST ülkelerinde (Meksika, Endonezya, Güney Kore ve Türkiye) Ocak 1998 – Temmuz 2017 döneminde borsa endekslerinin zayıf formda etkin olup olmadığını ortaya koymaktır.  Bu amaçla MIST borsalarının rassal yürüyüş süreci 2016 yılında Furuoka tarafından literatüre kazandırılan birim kök testi ile incelenmiştir. Elde edilen bulgular, incelenen piyasaların zayıf formda etkin olmadığına işaret etmektedir.


Rassal Walk Hypothesis On Mist Stock Exchange

The price of shares in the stock exchange is determined by supply and demand. If the stock exchange is rational walking hypothesis, it is not possible to predict the price by moving from past data. Otherwise, people who use this information will be able to predict the price and get out of normal profits. The purpose of this article is to reveal whether in the MIST countries (Mexico, Indonesia, South Korea and Turkey) in the period January 1998 - July 2017 the stock exchange rates were effective in a weak form.  For this purpose, the MIST exchanges’ racial walking process was studied by the unit root test awarded to literature by Furuoka in 2016. The findings indicate that the markets surveyed are not effective in a weak form.


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Eskişehir Osmangazi Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi

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Eskişehir Osmangazi Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi